Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.037196 5.464202 5.937978 6.508367 7.184471 7.971044 8.972115
2025-01-12 4.266111 4.783851 5.395519 6.188226 7.215720 8.546429 10.485484
2025-01-19 3.706385 4.253488 4.929542 5.855815 7.146090 8.981176 12.031549
2025-01-26 3.490008 4.107666 4.910197 6.083986 7.873267 10.765097 16.667376
2025-02-02 3.399738 4.107389 5.077161 6.603465 9.198883 14.191836 28.597592
2025-02-09 3.237887 3.988498 5.059659 6.847575 10.190164 17.831168 53.093727
2025-02-16 3.077855 3.851783 4.993993 7.000193 11.096691 22.351165 140.829156
2025-02-23 2.911318 3.686970 4.861529 7.009560 11.734215 27.243509 3351.672179
2025-03-02 2.715495 3.460700 4.604777 6.743901 11.653877 29.722185 NaN
2025-03-09 2.581890 3.316812 4.465110 6.675032 12.049198 35.559514 NaN
2025-03-16 2.424887 3.125605 4.228645 6.378031 11.740966 37.284675 NaN
2025-03-23 2.329876 3.023453 4.131783 6.347184 12.182862 46.153379 NaN
2025-03-30 2.228091 2.912949 4.025802 6.315568 12.748919 62.750438 NaN
2025-04-06 2.106353 2.763936 3.841401 6.091083 12.629822 73.693292 NaN
2025-04-13 1.988721 2.615244 3.646884 5.819820 12.267437 80.619373 NaN
2025-04-20 1.955385 2.599703 3.687579 6.085610 14.053270 267.781148 NaN
2025-04-27 1.955631 2.638580 3.831882 6.638704 17.810961 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.920675 2.615893 3.857947 6.910664 20.865603 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.877775 2.576479 3.847072 7.084766 23.875243 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.824451 2.515542 3.787147 7.107880 26.014891 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.750781 2.415228 3.639355 6.844637 25.288459 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.699238 2.351268 3.561423 6.780218 26.527744 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.631673 2.256152 3.413148 6.479083 24.998589 NaN NaN